Category: NBA Betting & Market Analysis

How Home Court Advantage Is Priced Into Lines

Home court advantage is one of the oldest concepts in sports betting. However, many bettors misunderstand how it is actually incorporated into betting lines. Most people assume sportsbooks simply “add a few points” to the home team. In reality, pricing home court advantage is more nuanced. It varies by league, team, altitude, travel schedule, and even …

How Referees Influence NBA Betting

Most bettors focus on players, pace, and matchups. However, one overlooked variable in NBA betting is officiating. Referees influence foul rates, free throw volume, game flow, and ultimately scoring distribution. While officials do not determine outcomes intentionally, their tendencies can shift possession value, pace, and efficiency. Therefore, understanding how referees affect NBA betting markets can improve …